Last Friday's TheStreet.com interview has been published and posted today.
To view the interview, click here
Wednesday, September 29, 2010
Monday, September 27, 2010
Bloomberg radio appearance
In case you missed the Monday appearance on "Taking Stock with Pimm Fox", click here
Media appearance today: Bloomberg radio "Taking Stock with Pimm Fox"
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Prospective talking points:
* There may be an enthusiasm gap in politics but there is certainly not one in the equity markets.
* The September relief rally has morphed into a more confidently bullish mode lifting valuation models well into overvalued territory.
* At to above average P/Es are now embedded in the data.
* Is the current environment average, which therefore justifies an average P/E of 15?
* Do the valuation math:
o current S&P 500 price: 1147
o required return: 11%
o future price (12 months ahead): 1273
o optimistic expected earnings (next 12 months): $86
o future price (1273) divided by exp. earnings ($86) = 15 P/E
Also, re enthusiasm - Cash levels at stock mutual funds are now at their lowest levels in decades. (see accompanying chart, click image to enlarge)
Plus market technicals - internal divergences have begun, no external divergences thus far.
Last time internal divergences occurred (early August), stocks dropped 8%.
Thursday, September 16, 2010
Simon Johnson
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Simon Johnson
The consequences of public policy decisions are front and center in my very informative interview with the coauthor of 13 Bankers: The Wall Street Takeover and The Next Financial Meltdown and highly regarded commentator. In the interview we explore many vital issues - too big to fail, shadow banking system, securitization, Basel III, US fiscal debt, Elizabeth Warren.
To listen to the 14 minutes 11 second interview, click here
Monday, September 13, 2010
David Malpass
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To listen to the 12 minutes 20 second interview, click here
Wednesday, September 8, 2010
Dr. Rob Atkinson
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To listen to the 12 minutes 28 second interview, click here
Friday, September 3, 2010
foxbusiness.com appearance: Friday, Sept. 3
Note: At the end of the video I commented re my attendance at The Juilliard School. To clarify, I attended and took several classes at the school but was not a matriculating student as my comment might imply.
Labels:
Economic,
Geopolitical,
Investment Strategy
Thursday, September 2, 2010
Jonathan Erlichman
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To listen to the 12 minutes 31 second interview, click here
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